Rumor: CCAA counts number of referrals, not LIDs
The Yahoo boards are speculating about when referral times will speed back up and when we'll see full months of LIDs in each batch again.
Several people have offered the theory that CCAA processes approximately the same number of referrals each time. And the LID dates are inconsequential to them. For example, if they process 300 referrals each time and a certain month has 300 applicants they'd make it through the whole month. But if the month had 900 applicants, they'd process their 300 referrals and would only get through 1/3 of the month.
If that's true, recent delays could be because CCAA is processing months with an extraordinary amount of applicants.
No one has offered statistics on the number of referrals per month for the past year. If anyone has these, please holler.
Several people have offered the theory that CCAA processes approximately the same number of referrals each time. And the LID dates are inconsequential to them. For example, if they process 300 referrals each time and a certain month has 300 applicants they'd make it through the whole month. But if the month had 900 applicants, they'd process their 300 referrals and would only get through 1/3 of the month.
If that's true, recent delays could be because CCAA is processing months with an extraordinary amount of applicants.
No one has offered statistics on the number of referrals per month for the past year. If anyone has these, please holler.
posted by M3 at 6:10 PM
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2 Comments:
I think this is a highly plausible theory and also pretty terrifying. We've all heard that april and may '05 had record numbers of dossiers, but, as much as i want it to be true, i can't imagine why the numbers would drop off precipitoucly in june, july and beyond. it makes more sense that subsequent months could be smaller, but not dramatically smaller, i.el. so much so that the ccaa would all of a sudden be able to do full months again...
why could china adoption all of a sudden get dramatically less popular?
scary stuff
By
Anonymous, at 7:50 PM
I would expect that the end of each year, aka 'the holidays' are a time of reflection for many couples, I know it has been for us and those like us we know. As such, each holiday season, the adoption agencies I worked with prior to selecting one said they have a spike in applications.
So this could explain why, several months later, when all the paperchasing is done in April or so that we have a peak of DTC's and LID's occuring. I've seen on another site the actual # of LID's on a chart over the last few years, and it does show this spike several months after the holiday season.
Seems only natural to me... we can't imagine 1 more lonely Christmas.
thebryantbunch.blogspot.com
By
dreamer, at 9:31 AM
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